UCERF3
2015 US GEOLOGICAL SURVEY EARTHQUAKE FORECAST FOR CALIFORNIA
UCERF; Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast; Draft:UCERF3; California earthquake forecast
The 2015 Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 3, or UCERF3, is the latest official earthquake rupture forecast (ERF) for the state of California, superseding UCERF2. It provides authoritative estimates of the likelihood and severity of potentially damaging earthquake ruptures in the long- and near-term.